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EUR/GBP still bearish below 0.7518/42 – Commerzbank

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Despite yesterday’s strong upside, the bearish tone remains unchanged around the cross, according to Axel Rudolph, Senior Technical Analysis at Commerzbank.

Key Quotes

EUR/GBP we were expecting that the .7057 May low and the .7020 April 2006 high and the psychological .7000 mark, would hold the currency pair on the initial test”.

“What we did not expect however was a key day reversal. This suggests at the very least that we should exit remaining short positions”.

“Initial resistance lies at .7236 the 200 day ma and major resistance continues to be seen at .7518/42 (this is the location of the previous 43 year uptrend, which should now act as resistance and the 2013-2015 downtrend). We will maintain our bearish view while capped here”.

Steady non-farm payroll number to raise the possibility of a December rate hike

The U.S. October employment report will be released today by the Labour Department. Job growth had slowed to just below 140,000 on average in September and August. So far in 2015 the US job creation has averaged almost 200K per month, below the 260K averaged in 2014. It is however stronger than the historical average of 122K figure reached ever since the statistics began in 1939. The current unemployment rate that stands at 5.1% is well below the historical average of 5.83% and better than the FED minimum comfort level.
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