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2 May 2017
AUD/USD: to consolidate but look for opporuntities in Aussie crosses - Nomura
Analysts at Nomura explained that AUD/USD has fallen repeatedly in May over the past few years.
Key Quotes:
"Some participants are quick to suggest “seasonality”, but a deeper analysis illustrates there has been a run of macroeconomic developments that have driven the moves."
"This has included a narrowing of the Australia-US two-year swap spread, sharp falls in commodity prices and a stronger USD on either geopolitical or US Fed-related factors. We do not expect this to occur in 2017."
"We look for AUD/USD to consolidate, but for AUD to underperform other key crosses, such as EUR/AUD."