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Brent Technical Analysis: Break below $73.96 could prove costly

  • Brent oil rose to $75.58 yesterday – the highest level since Oct. 31 only to end largely unchanged on the day at $74.30. 
  • Essentially, Brent created a candle with a long upper wick. Notably, the candlestick has been formed following a solid rally to near 6-month highs. Hence, it could be considered a sign of buyer exhaustion. 
  • Further, the relative strength index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart has diverged in favor of the bears. 
  • So, a deeper pullback could be in the offing. So far, however, the oil benchmark has managed to defend the support at $73.96. 
  • A break below that level would validate the bull exhaustion signs and open the doors to $70.76 (April 16 low). 

Daily chart

4-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Pivot Points

 

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